Gold prices experienced a substantial surge of 13.36% or US$310.44/oz in Q3, notching multiple new all-time highs, closely aligning with our projection released on 1 July 2024. As we transition into Q4 2024, our proprietary system indicates that Gold retains its cyclical uptrend, with the bulls firmly in control. There is a strong likelihood that bulls will retest the supply strength at the US$2,685/oz level, which represents the current all-time high for Gold, potentially setting new records.
Silver prices also rose throughout Q3, climbing 7.07% or US$2.06/oz, marking its fourth consecutive quarterly increase, in line with our projections. Looking ahead to Q4 2024, our system shows that Silver prices will continue to trend higher. Bulls have identified US$32.70/oz as the next target, reflecting the high for Silver in 2024.
Our system suggests that if the precious metals market maintains its uptrend this quarter, Gold may outperform Silver in terms of price movement.
Platinum prices ticked down slightly in Q3, declining by US$13.18/oz or 1.32%. However, Platinum remains within the established range of US$850/oz to US$1,100/oz, a band that has persisted since Q3 2021. As we move into Q4 2024, our system projects that Platinum prices will remain within this range, but with an upside bias. Bulls are targeting US$1,100/oz, the high for Platinum in 2024.
Please feel free to contact us if you require additional information or have any further questions regarding our Q4 outlook for precious metals. We are always available to assist you and wish you a successful trading experience!
Why is Dollar Cost Averaging a crucial strategy during times of market volatility and how it can fortify your Precious Metals Investments.
Investing can be a daunting task, especially when faced with the unpredictable nature of the market. The fear of buying high and the uncertainty of when to invest often paralyze even the most seasoned investors. Enter dollar cost averaging (DCA), a simple yet powerful strategy that can help you navigate market volatility and achieve long-term success.
What is Dollar Cost Averaging?
Dollar cost averaging is an investment strategy where you consistently invest a fixed amount of money at regular intervals, regardless of market conditions. Whether the market is up or down, the same amount of money is invested, allowing you to purchase more shares when prices are low and fewer shares when prices are high. This approach reduces the risk of making a poorly timed investment and helps smooth out the impact of market volatility.
Benefits of Dollar Cost Averaging
- Reduces Market Timing Risk: Trying to time the market—buying when prices are low and selling when they’re high—is particularly difficult. Even seasoned investors struggle with predicting market movements accurately. Dollar cost averaging eliminates the need to time the market. By spreading out your investments over time, you reduce the risk of making a significant investment right before a market downturn.
- Moderating Emotional Investing: Market fluctuations can trigger emotional reactions, leading to impulsive decisions like panic selling during downturns or overbuying during booms. DCA encourages a disciplined approach to investing, helping you stick to your plan even when the market gets turbulent.
- Encourages Regular Investing: One of the biggest challenges for investors is simply getting started and staying consistent. DCA makes it easier to establish a regular investment habit. By committing to invest a set amount each month, you progressively build your portfolio without the pressure of finding the “perfect” time to invest.
Dollar Cost Averaging vs. Lump-Sum Investing
While DCA involves gradually investing over time, lump-sum investing is the practice of investing a large sum of money all at once. Each method has its advantages. Lump-sum investing may yield higher returns in a rising market, as more money is invested earlier. However, it also exposes the investor to greater risk if the market declines soon after the investment is made.
DCA, on the other hand, spreads out the investment, reducing the impact of short-term market fluctuations. This makes it particularly appealing to risk-averse investors, those entering the market during uncertain times or for those who are just starting to invest in the market.
Real-Life Examples of Dollar Cost Averaging:
- Long-Term Gold Investment from the Early 2000s
– Scenario: In the early 2000s, gold was trading at around $250-$300 per ounce, a period when it was largely out of favour among mainstream investors. However, some investors believed in the long-term value of gold as a hedge against inflation and currency devaluation.
– Dollar Cost Averaging Strategy: A long-term investor decided to purchase a fixed amount of gold every month starting in 2001. Despite fluctuations in gold prices, they continued to accumulate gold consistently over the years.
– Outcome: By 2011, gold had reached an all-time high of nearly $1,900 per ounce. The investor, who had been accumulating gold steadily for a decade, had amassed a significant quantity of gold at an average price well below the peak. The appreciation in gold prices led to substantial gains, illustrating the effectiveness of DCA in building wealth over the long term.
- Post-2020 COVID-19 Pandemic
– Scenario: The onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 led to unprecedented economic uncertainty. Gold and silver prices surged as investors flocked to safe-haven assets, but prices were highly volatile.
– Dollar Cost Averaging Strategy: An investor began a precious metals accumulation plan in early 2020, contributing monthly to buy both gold and silver. Despite the high volatility, they remained consistent with their purchases.
– Outcome: As the pandemic progressed, gold reached new highs in mid-2020, while silver also experienced significant gains. The investor’s strategy of regularly investing in both metals allowed them to benefit from the rising prices while avoiding the pitfalls of market timing. Their portfolio grew in value, showing how DCA can work even in times of extreme market stress.
Key Takeaway Points for DCA:
– Consistency is Key: All these examples highlight the importance of maintaining a regular investment schedule. By sticking to a DCA strategy, investors were able to accumulate precious metals at an average cost that was favourable over time.
– Volatility is an Opportunity: Market volatility can work in favour of a DCA strategy. By buying more during dips, investors can reduce their average cost per ounce.
– Long-Term Perspective: The success of DCA is often most apparent over longer time periods. Investors who consistently apply this strategy, even during uncertain or bearish markets, are often rewarded when the market recovers or rises.
To find out more about GSAP, please click on the below link:
GoldSilver Central Savings Accumulation Program – GoldSilver Central Pte Ltd
